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Effects of the Middle East conflict continue to reverberate through the global economy, but for the strongest performers among US equity factors, the war has been little more than an afterthought. Momentum and high‑beta have rallied sharply since the war started and are outperforming the broad market by a wide margin, based on a set of ETFs through May 5's close.
Futures are pointing higher as investors react to reports that the U.S. and Iran may be nearing a peace agreement. Axios reported the two sides are close to a memorandum of understanding, while President Trump's social media posts have tempered some of the early optimism.
US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer says he expects the European Union to keep "its side of the trade deal" that was agreed to in July. The EU has not ratified the package yet.
J.P. Morgan's blockchain unit, Kinexys, in collaboration with Mastercard, Ripple and Ondo Finance, said it has completed the first near-real-time, cross-border and cross-bank redemption of a tokenized U.S. Treasury fund.
EU lawmakers and governments aim on Wednesday to finalise a deal scrapping duties on U.S. imports under renewed pressure from President Donald Trump, though divisions over safeguards dim chances of a swift agreement.
Markets are reacting bullishly to credible reports of imminent US-Iran diplomatic progress, reducing the risk premium in oil and boosting equities and precious metals. Oil prices have sharply declined as the probability of a Strait of Hormuz reopening rises, with Brent falling from $115 to $103 per barrel.
The U.S. Treasury is sticking with its plan to keep the sizes of its long-term bonds steady for at least the next several quarters.
Employment in the private sector was stronger than projected last month, according to a report from the payroll processing firm ADP, the latest data pointing to a stabilizing job market as the Federal Reserve appears less motivated to cut interest rates amid higher inflation.
Markets are in a powerful bull run, with all news interpreted positively and overbought conditions prevailing. I am increasing liquidity and taking profits, anticipating a pullback after earnings season and potential geopolitical resolution.
Hiring by private-sector employers picked up in April, human-resources company ADP said, the latest hint that the labor market may have found more stability.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) is set to extend a record run as crude tumbles and traders welcome signs the Iran conflict could be winding down.
The figure reported on Wednesday is above economists' estimates of an increase of 99,000 jobs. The prior month's reading was revised lower to a gain of 62,000 jobs.
Here are five key things investors need to know to start the trading day.
ADP said U.S. businesses create 109,000 new jobs in April — the biggest increase in 15 months — in a sign a partly frozen labor market might be thawing out after months of unusually tepid hiring.
During Q1, the Middle East conflict materially impacted the macro environment and equity return trends. Unlike in Q4, larger equities were not consistently favored, which may reflect the change of leadership seen during the quarter with the macro shock and Tech moderation.
Private companies added 109,000 jobs for the month, a step up from the 61,000 created in March and better than the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 84,000, ADP reported Wednesday. Education and health services again dominated, adding 61,000 jobs.
China A50 shows strong resilience and leadership: The index has gained ~7% since late February 2026 and outperformed global peers during the US-Iran conflict, remaining largely stable during broader market sell-offs. Macro tailwinds and geopolitical positioning: A tariff truce and upcoming Trump-Xi meeting (14-15 May) are key catalysts, while a strengthening yuan and China's strategic stance on energy and AI supply chains continue to support equity upside.
The Project Freedom was likely an initial attempt to open the Strait of Hormuz by force, and it failed. The Strait of Hormuz remains closed, with no end in sight, which increases the probability of an inflationary recession with each passing day.
Saks Global Enterprises LLC may soon emerge from bankruptcy with less debt, fresh capital and a much smaller store base.
US futures point to a strong open, extending a global rally driven by hopes of a breakthrough in the Middle East, with further fuel from strong results from AMD and Super Micro Computer overnight. The Dow Jones has been called more than 500 points higher, with futures up 1%, while futures for the S&P 500 are up 0.9%.