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The United States and Israel launched strikes on Iran on Saturday, targeting its leadership and plunging the Middle East into a new conflict that President Donald Trump said would end a security threat and give Iranians a chance to topple their rulers.
Labor market appears to be sluggish, although there are some signs of improvement, like the recent creation of construction and temp jobs. Given the current macro situation, it's an imperative that labor market remains stable, specifically referring to an unfolding private credit crisis.
The United States and Israel launched strikes on Iran on Saturday, targeting its leadership and plunging the Middle East into a new conflict that President Donald Trump said would end a security threat and give Iranians a chance to topple their rulers.
Massive jobs cuts at Block and a cataclysmic Citrini blog post stoked anxieties — but some CEOs and researchers are skeptical about doomsday scenarios.
The US and Israel have launched a major combat operation against Iran, escalating geopolitical risk and impacting global markets. The energy sector has outperformed, reaching all-time highs, and now appears overvalued amid rapid rotation from growth to value.
February saw heightened geopolitical tensions, tariff policy shifts, and increasing market anxiety around AI-driven disruption. The software sector, exemplified by IGV, entered deep bear market territory, with industry P/E ratios at decade lows.
Shares of PayPal and Block are both cheap relative to historic levels, but only one of them commands heavy enthusiasm from analysts.
U.S. launches "major combat operations" in Iran, raising fears of wider regional conflict and impact on global markets. Market watchers see oil prices surging as Strait of Hormuz disruption fears mount.
I use junk bond yields as a leading signal to gauge equity market risk. Their sensitivity to investor risk appetite complements traditional indicators like P/E ratios.
Bitcoin was tumbling on Saturday after military action was carried out against Iran by the U.S. and Israel.
Blue Owl's 2.4% decline this week pushed y-t-d (2-month) losses to 29.4%. The KBW Regional Bank Index was clobbered 7.1% this week, with losses from February 9th highs at 10.0%.
Q4 earnings growth in U.S. remains robust. Equity leadership broadens beyond U.S. large caps.
Shares in US insurers were less impacted by the broader market's volatility that came in the wake of a US Supreme Court decision striking down President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs. Apart from some specific managed care and insurance technology players, most listed US insurers shrugged off the Supreme Court decision, with the S&P Global insurance index rising 0.62% from Feb. 20 through Feb. 26.
Big banks are benefiting from the boom in data center construction, as they can accommodate the capital needs of hyperscalers and have investment banking arms that can run securitization offerings. Smaller banks can participate in the trend as well, via syndicated loans and by lending to companies that work on more modest projects.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is barely hanging on to a gain for the month (+0.05%). If the gains for February hold, it would be just the sixth double-digit monthly winning streak in the Dow's history.
Markets remain volatile with anxiety heightened by financial sector weakness and recent defaults among private equity and tech firms. After cryptocurrencies, tech/software, and semiconductors, a more concerning wave is gripping financial markets.
US stock benchmarks got it harsh at the open after 1% gaps lower across the board. Dip buyers are coming back heavily, leading to a strong rebound towards midday.
Trade escalation and a hotter PPI print reintroduced policy uncertainty and pressured rate expectations, driving sharp rotations across sectors and market caps. AI infrastructure leaders delivered outsized growth and multibillion-dollar deployment deals, while disruption fears compressed software multiples - despite Nvidia's Jensen Huang arguing investors are misreading AI's impact on applications.
The U.S. tariff situation might be going from bad to worse. The biggest economic risk may have nothing to do with politics.
'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer looks ahead to next week's market moving events.