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Small business optimism dipped below its 52-year average for the first time in a year in March, driven by the Iran war and the subsequent surge in oil prices, the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) said Tuesday (April 14). The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 3.0 points in March to 95.8.

Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C., joins 'Mornings with Maria' to discuss delays in Kevin Warsh's Federal Reserve confirmation hearing, Jerome Powell's future, and the fight to pass the CLARITY Act.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Tuesday said he was quite confident that core inflation would continue to go down in the United States despite the Iran war, and repeated his call for the Federal Reserve to cut its interest rates.

A pricey bottle of wine shows that despite the best efforts of vintners, importers and distributors to minimize the impact of Trump's tariffs, consumers are paying the price. Bloomberg's Laura Curtis has more.

"Let's assume [the Strait is] shut down for the next six to 12 months — the world's going to end up in a recession," said Ken Griffin, CEO of Citadel. "There's no way to avoid that.

U.S. equity markets continued to show constructive momentum this week, with broad-based gains across major ETFs led by strength in technology and industrial sectors. Growth-oriented funds such as the NASDAQ 100 ETF and Technology Select Sector SPDR posted solid advances, while the industrial sector also outperformed, reflecting improving investor sentiment toward cyclical exposure.

The International Monetary Fund says markets have remained resilient so far, but a prolonged Middle East conflict could expose vulnerabilities and trigger broader financial instability.

Tobias Adrian, the IMF's monetary and capital-markets director, says incentives today are better aligned among issuers of private credit and investors in it than was the case when subprime mortgage debt fueled the global financial crisis.

Filing shows stakes in tech startups and more than $10 million in consulting fees for President Trump's pick to lead the central bank.

Lauder has an estimated net worth of $1.9 billion as of Tuesday. Druckennmiller, who worked as a hedge fund manager alongside billionaire George Soros, is the 469th-richest person in the world with an estimated net worth of $7.8 billion.

The S&P 500 information-technology sector's forward P/E ratio is at its lowest relative to five-year averages among all sectors in the index.

Nasdaq futures rise as soft PPI boosts sentiment, with tech stocks leading US indices higher while weak bank earnings weigh on financials ahead of the open.

The UK's 2026 growth will take the worst hit of any rich nation because of the Iran war, the IMF warned on Tuesday. Its latest World Economic Outlook projected that the U.K. economy will now grow by just 0.8% in 2026, down from 2025's 1.3% projection.

The fear index has fallen well below nervous territory.

Wall Street opened higher on Tuesday as renewed hopes of diplomatic progress in the Middle East lifted investor sentiment, even as markets digested fresh corporate earnings and softer-than-expected inflation data. The S&P 500 rose 0.39%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 45 points or 0.09%.

Senator Tim Scott says a confirmation hearing for Kevin Warsh, President Donald Trump's nominee for Federal Reserve chair, will be held next week. Punchbowl reports it will take place on April 21.

The U.S.-Iran conflict has shifted from imminent escalation to a naval blockade, but markets are looking past these geopolitical uncertainties. China's role as Iran's largest oil buyer introduces complexity, yet immediate intervention appears unlikely due to ample strategic reserves.

Stocks futures are slightly higher Tuesday as investors continue to hope for progress on a deal to end the Iran war; oil prices are losing ground despite a U.S. blockade of Iranian ports; JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Citigroup each reported earnings this morning; the Producer Price Index is expected to show the Iran war's impact on wholesale prices in March; and the CEO of United Airlines has reportedly discussed a potential effort to buy American Airlines with senior Trump administration officials. Here's what you need to know today.

The U.S. and global economies were poised to accelerate this year before the Iran war. And now? A global watchdog warns of trouble if a peace deal proves elusive or the conflict worsens.

Major market indexes have rebounded sharply, but investor optimism appears excessive given persistent geopolitical and inflation risks. Despite the ceasefire, energy prices remain elevated, with WTI crude near $100 and global oil supply disruptions not fully priced in.