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Total retail sales jumped significantly in March following a smaller 0.7% increase in February. The rise was skewed by gasoline prices.

Tom Lee, of Fundstrat, outlined independence, forward guidance, inflation and the Federal Reserve's inflation measurement as the key takeaways

Despite the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, market indexes have rallied to more all-time highs. This has occurred even as consumer sentiment is at all-time lows, with inflation expectations rising and anemic job growth averaging only 15,000 monthly in 2025.

Keep your eyes on real yields for signs of the economy's health Oil-driven inflation fears have investors increasingly convinced the Fed won't be cutting interest rates anytime soon—a sentiment shift that's pushed bond yields higher in recent weeks.

The Strait of Hormuz has not broadly opened to ship traffic after President Donald Trump extended the ceasefire with Iran. Iran is still trying to control ship traffic in the sea lane, while the U.S. maintains its blockade of Tehran's ports and vessels.

Kevin Warsh's Senate testimony signals a potential shift toward reduced Federal Reserve communication with markets. A less communicative Fed could leave markets with greater uncertainty and less forward guidance.

What's in this spring? The AI trade, according to BlackRock.

Companies have moved on from lifting prices to now reducing output as a result of the war in Iran.

Markets are transitioning from geopolitical risk and focusing more on earnings, says Kevin Green, pointing out the "oil higher, stocks higher" trend as a key indicator. Don't discredit headlines around the Strait of Hormuz, however, with KG pointing out reported attacks on oil tankers keeping energy disruption risks top of mind.

HIGHLIGHTS: Stocks: In March, the S&P 500 Index posted its worst month since 2022. Bonds: Rates moved sharply higher during March, creating a difficult environment for bonds.
Senate Grills Trump's Fed Chair Pick Warsh Key Takeaways.

Bitcoin is poised for a major bull cycle as systemic liquidity stress forces the Fed to expand its balance sheet, historically driving BTC exponential rallies. Repo market dysfunction, rising corporate debt maturities, and minimum bank reserves signal imminent Fed intervention, with M2 money supply growth outpacing GDP and fueling asset inflation. BTC's fixed supply, computational security, and regulatory clarity position it as a superior hedge against fiat debasement and systemic instability versus altcoins and traditional assets.

CAPE signals elevated valuation for the stock market, but a shorter-term measure suggests conditions remain "normal". Divergent signaling reflects differing methodologies and limits of single‑metric views.

Broad US index funds like Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) remain robust despite rule changes accelerating large IPO inclusions. Even in extreme scenarios, mega-IPOs' impact on index fund returns is minimal—potentially a 0.2% drag, far less than typical daily market moves.

The CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) slipped to the 19 level on Wednesday morning, down roughly 2.5%, signaling fear has subsided.

Shares of private credit funds are trading at their deepest discounts to net asset values in more than 5-1/2 years as investors grow more sceptical of valuations and mounting stress in the sector.

Roundhill's DRAM ETF hit $1 billion in assets in just 10 trading days.

Steve Klinsky, New Mountain Capital founder and CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of private credit and private equity, latest market trends, private equity and private credit's retail push, and more.

US stock indices moved higher on Wednesday, signaling a positive open for Wall Street after President Donald Trump extended the ceasefire with Iran, even as uncertainty persisted over the durability of the truce. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by more than 417 points, or about 0.85%, while the S&P 500 gained roughly 0.67% and the Nasdaq 100 climbed 0.72%.
Alec Young (@MoneyFlowsCom) believes the stock market hit the bottom on March 30 when the S&P 500 (SPX) hovered around 6,300. He believes we're in a set-up where a sharp and steady rebound will shape even if "nasty headlines" on Iran still hit the tape.